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13.12.2024 05:01 AM
Forecast for EUR/USD on December 13, 2024

Following yesterday's 0.25% interest rate cut by the European Central Bank, the euro exhibited slightly increased intraday volatility and ended the day with a moderate 30-pip decline. Another significant factor was the decline in external markets: the S&P 500 fell by 0.54%, oil dropped by 0.38%, and gold declined by 1.38%. This indicates a weakening external support for the euro as market participants move away from risk assets.

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The price is approaching the 1.0461 support level on the daily chart, with the Marlin oscillator attempting to solidify a downward trajectory below the zero line. Breaking this support would open the way toward the 1.0350 level, a critical threshold determining the medium-term outlook for the euro.

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On the H4 chart, the MACD and balance lines rejected the price. The Marlin oscillator has deepened into negative territory. A confirmed break below 1.0461 would pave the way for further declines.

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