股票市場的恐慌情緒開始減退。昨日,到交易結束時,主要指數錄得上漲。歐元下跌11點。值得注意的是,此時馬林振盪器的信號線已經落在零線上。現在,歐元正在等待白宮政府對將於明天開始實施的關稅做出最終決定。
然而,在當前貿易關稅戰爭的背景下,今天將公佈來自美國和歐元區的重要數據——採購經理人指數 (PMI) 報告。預測顯示,美國經濟具有優勢:預計歐元區製造業PMI將從47.6上升至48.7,而即使美國製造業PMI預計從52.7下降至49.8,依然超過歐洲的數字。根據ISM的數據,美國製造業PMI可能從50.3降至49.6,這仍然優於歐洲的結果。
但這裡存在市場心理結合算法交易的常見陷阱——如果美國指標下滑,那麼邏輯就變成購買歐元。正如我們之前提到的,標普500的增長(在經歷10.7%的修正後)可能會成為催化劑。儘管我們不懷疑歐元在所有短期事件結束後會出現重大下滑,但目前上升趨勢仍在繼續。最近的目標是1.0955,接著是1.1027。
在四小時圖上,價格正準備突破接近1.0840的MACD線。Marlin已經準備好上漲——我們只需等待PMI數據的發布。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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