20.03.2025 11:29 AM黃金在創下歷史新高後略有回落，保持著防禦立場。
目前，看漲的交易者顯得謹慎，這可從日線圖上超買狀況以及市場整體的正面情緒看出，這通常會減少對黃金這種避險資產的需求。
美國美元的溫和走強也限制了貴金屬進一步的漲幅。然而，由於特朗普總統的激進貿易政策及其對全球經濟可能影響的不確定性，下行壓力依然受限。此外，中東地區的地緣政治風險繼續支撐黃金作為避險資產的需求。市場日益期待聯儲會可能較預期更早開始降息週期，這也在增強看漲黃金的情緒。
從技術角度看，超過70的相對強弱指數（RSI）暗示超買情況，在目前情況下不鼓勵交易者建立新的多頭頭寸。謹慎的方法是等待短期整固或溫和回撤後，考慮新的買入頭寸。然而，若突破心理價位3,000美元，意味著上升趨勢仍然完好，進一步向上的趨勢成為最小阻力路徑。
若出現顯著回撤，買家可能會在3,023–3,022美元區域介入，幫助價格保持在關鍵的3,000美元支撐位之上，這對短期交易者來說現在非常重要。若決定性跌破此水平可能引發技術性拋售，把價格推向中間支撐2,980–2,978美元，然後朝向2,956美元區域。
進一步下行可能會延續跌勢至2,930美元支撐位，若看跌勢頭持續，黃金可能重測心理價位2,900美元和上週低點約2,880美元。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。
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