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29.01.2025 01:34 PM
歐元/日圓。分析與預測
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EUR/JPY貨幣對難以確立在關鍵心理關口162.00以上的位置。這一下跌主要是由於日圓需求增加所推動。儘管股市整體情緒樂觀,但預期日本央行今年進一步加息為日圓提供了支持。此外,對美國總統唐納德·特朗普貿易政策之經濟影響的擔憂,增強了日圓作為避險資產的地位,進一步限制了EUR/JPY的上漲潛力。

從技術角度來看,該貨幣對多次未能突破164.70水準,該水準與200日簡單移動平均線(SMA)一致,這表明日線圖上可能形成多頭頂型態。雖然震盪指標逐漸轉向負區域,顯示潛在的下行壓力,但在週四歐洲中央銀行(ECB)會議之前,開立空頭倉位需保持謹慎。然而,早期信號仍然指向該貨幣對可能下滑。

主要支撐位於161.55至161.50之間,靠近50日SMA,接著是161.00關口。跌破此一門檻可能使該貨幣對面臨進一步損失,可能推向160.50,並延伸至心理關口160.00以及月低159.70附近。

另一方面,日內高點大約在162.50是即時的阻力位,然後是163.00水平。突破此障礙可能引發空頭回補反彈,目標163.65–163.70阻力區,隨後可能回到164.00。如動力持續,該貨幣對可能會測試200日SMA,顯示趨勢動態可能改變。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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