15.11.2024 07:11 AM最近美國的通脹數據顯示，聯邦儲備可能暫停降息進程，Jerome Powell 也明確表達了這一點。這與生產者價格數據一同出現，該數據顯示增長從 1.9% 加速至 2.4%。年底前，有關潛在加息的討論可能會重新出現，因為數據暗示通脹可能回升的可能性。
此外，歐元區的工業生產下降幅度從 -0.1% 擴大至 -2.8%，似乎顯示出一種完全的崩潰。
然而，美元未能走強。美國貨幣保持不變，部分原因是自總統大選以來美元的持續且大幅上升已使其處於相當大的超買狀態。更重要的是，中國零售銷售數據阻止了美元的上升勢頭，顯示增長從 3.2% 加速至 4.8%，超出 4.0% 的預測。對中國經濟放緩的擔憂是自九月底以來推動美元走強的關鍵因素之一。中國經濟活動復甦的跡象可能成為美元走勢逆轉和啓動走弱趨勢的基礎。
即便如此，美元今天可能會繼續上升。根據預測，美國工業生產增長預計將從 1.7% 加速至 1.9%，而工業生產下降則應該從 -0.6% 緩和至 -0.4%。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。
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