在美國交易時段早期,黃金交易價格維持在2,463美元,處於對稱三角形的形態內,展示出積極信號,但已經達到超買水平,這可能導致技術性回調。隨後,黃金可能會恢復其上漲周期。
美國非農就業人數數據將在幾小時後公佈,因此市場將會受到強烈的波動影響。
我們相信,如果美國數據顯示就業強勁,我們可以預期黃金將經歷顯著的技術性回調,價格可能下降至2,437美元,甚至加速其下跌周期,達到6/8 Murray的2,375美元水平。
另一方面,如果美國數據反映就業疲弱,我們可以期待黃金繼續其上漲周期,但需要突破並鞏固在2,470美元以上。
如果出現這種情況,黃金可能會達到7月17日的高點2,483.48美元,最終達到8/8 Murray的心理水平2,500美元。
我們觀察到黃金的上升動力有所疲弱。只有當突破上升趨勢通道且鞏固在2,455美元以下時,黃金才可能進行技術性回調。
因此,我們應該關注這一點,因為在該區域以下,我們可能會看到黃金下跌至21 SMA所在的2,422美元,最終跌至200 EMA所在的2,385美元。這可以被視為一個賣出機會。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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